The Afghan Crisis, A matter of Concern for America and Russia. By Hafeez Hassanabadi
The
Afghan Crisis, A matter of
Concern for America and Russia
By Hafeez Hassanabadi - Translated by Archen
Baloch
There
is no doubt that the history of Russian diplomacy has witnessed lots of ups and
downs, because they take their decisions after considerable deliberations.
Before taking any step they always bear in their minds the Russian proverb that
“the more the higher you fill down, the more the pain is”. The possible safe
why out is always is in their mind whenever they want to inter into a
relationship in a vertical flying position.
However,
a few years back, regarding their relationship with Pakistan, the Russian were
seen as a bet hasty, some people were suggesting that as America is quitting the
area, therefore Russia should take its place.
If
things are seen in a wider perspective, that perception seems to be a childish
conjecture or still it is, but in the presence of that concept, the Russian warm
up with Pakistan was a self-deception. Russian company Gazprom’s taking keen
interest in a dead project like IPI, shows how Pakistani officials have taken in
their Russian counterparts by making them to believe that passing the pipelines
of IPI through Balochistan isn’t a difficult task, besides this lethal
propaganda that the Baloch are religious extremists, and that they’re their
common enemy: thus the Russia does not protest the Baloch genocide and remains
a silent spectator in international forums.
Nevertheless,
the reality is different from that of Pakistani expectations because,
Balochistan has long ago wrested itself out of Pakistani state control. They
talk about existence of an autonomous provincial government in Balochistan, but
it is not true, in facts it is a spineless, stooge government, the governor and
chief minister even cannot visit their own province. How come they can protect
foreign investors and their projects? The most important reality is that Baloch
are the only secular nation in the entire region. And they’re far away from
religious extremism – the jewel in the crown.
To
exploit the natural resources of Baloch land, Pakistan is hell bent on to create
the impression that Baloch people are religious thereby it would be easy for it
to obtain the clean chit for quelling the Baloch resistance with impunity.
Today
I feel relaxed that almost three years ago or so I used to sincerely convince my
Russian friends in an informal way that Russia should not be taken in by
Pakistan and avoid taking part in unnecessary war where it has to dissipate its
energy in vain, The IPI project, in which Russia was taking interest for
investment, passes through Balochistan and Balochistan is simmering with
resistance.
And
the second thing is that Baloch hold no grudge against any non-Muslim nation,
including the Russia. Despite the fact that Pakistan has established thousands
of madrassas in Balochistan spending billions of rupees to dilute the secular
nature of Baloch nation and sowing the seeds of resentment among them against
Christens, Jews and Hindus, but they failed in their sinister schemes. To
avenge its humiliation in Balochistan, Pakistani state is ruthlessly
perpetrating Baloch genocide. Therefore, the Russia should not become a partner
of Pakistani state conspiracy against Baloch.
The
worrisome fact is that if Pakistan’s criminal hand was not stopped at this
juncture of affairs, like Iran, it would turn occupied Balochistan into such a
place where it would weigh very heavy for world peace.
At
that time ecstasy of our Russian friends about relationship with Pakistan was
spectacular, but after the elapse of a very short span of time Russian president
cancelled his scheduled visit to Pakistan, and most recently the cancellation of
Russian Anti Narcotic’s chief, Mr Victoranov’s visit to Pakistan at eleventh
hour, and above all, in the presence of Chinese glaring eyes, Russia backed down
from investing in the IP project, it shows that Russia has now realized the
reality and taking just decision in the light of objective
condition.
It
is all the more important for Russia to take step more cautiously because It is
the only country in the region which is a strong stockholder and it has not only
the capacity of putting a check on Pakistani and Iranian hooliganism, but it
also can effectively rectify and control the countless American errors that It
erred in the region. Otherwise the Islamic extremist forces would create
countless troubles for Russia soon after American withdrawal from Afghanistan.
Unfortunately
America is still far away from resolving the Afghanistan crisis. If I may
further say, of all, Pakistan is the biggest successful party in Afghan conflict
as a negative power despite the fact that it is internally broken into pieces.
Pakistan’s
new alliance with Russia and good relationship were glorified to an extent so
that they could achieve two objectives, first, by initiating good relationship
with Russia as a pressure tag so that America soften its stance about Pakistan,
secondly, in the cover of good relationship they could easily pave the way for
its people to penetrate Russia by sending its men in various parts of Russia,
particularly the insurgency hit areas where they could prepare a specific number
of people of extremists so that they engage Russia until America withdraw from
Afghanistan. And then through its proxy war machine, the Taliban, it begins its
policy of “Destroy Everything Thing”.
Russia
and its allies, India and China have invested a lot in Afghanistan. Pakistan,
through its proxy war machine, the Taliban, would do everything it could to
wreak havoc in Afghanistan in destroying the every sign of Indian investment and
presence in that unfortunate country, it is not the only reason that destruction
is an easy task than building, as Pakistan has got nothing to contribute in the
development of Afghanistan; nor does it has the capacity to compete with other
powers in the region.
Economically,
since General Zia ul Haq era, this country is constantly relying on funds
provided by foreign countries to fight the terrorism. Now after the American
withdrawal, neither Pakistan would have the previous luxury of economic aid, nor
does it enjoys the same friendship of America, all this went down the drain
because of Pakistan’s irresponsible ambitions. The mistrust has now taken over
between the countries.
Russia,
against which once Pakistan waged a Jihadi war to expel it from Afghanistan by
destroying Islam’s true identity, would triumphantly inter in Afghanistan and
increase its sphere of influence by joining hands with its nearest ally India
but this time with a different approach- without a war.
It is in the interest of America and its allies to
make sure those extremist religious forces are not going to cash the resentments
that have been accumulated over the past
24 years in Pakistan by state sponsored Jihadi Parties against it. In the event
of comprehensive Russian role in Afghanistan, after American withdrawal, people
will start looking towards Russia, China and India instead of terrorist power of
Taliban. Which is obviously disliked by Americans, but this scenario is far
better than that possible scenario where people would become disappointed from
America and Afghan government and start looking towards Taliban. Pakistan finds
its interests in the condition of confrontation among forces in the region,
particularly between America and Taliban so that it blackmails America and world
community as possible as it can, the options for America are limited, yet it is
not bothering to pay any attention to that if there exists anyone. Or at least
we cannot see such a sign that shows that at academic level such a perspective
or option is being contemplated over supposedly expected to produce aa positive
result.
All
that efforts that America is exerting through Afghanistan government for talk
with Taliban and getting their fugitives released from Pakistani jails are
seemed to result into a zero sum game as it is the game that Pakistan exactly
wants to be played for dissipating American and Afghani energy and time.
The helplessness of America and Afghan leadership is
obvious in this regard; they’re trying their level best in making sure that all
stockholders are on board so that a new Afghanistan is envisaged, but Pakistan
and its Taliban ally are totally opposite of that, they think that America and
its ally are defeated. The “Afghanistan withdrawal” is the euphemism of safe escape, they use to describe the
situation but again they believe that America is not going to withdraw from
Afghanistan completely. Rather, Pakistani believes that America would push the
afghan forces in front line and save her troops from harmful attacks. Pakistanis
also believe that American forces would relax in a Garrison Camp from where they
would control the threads; they also say that if America with full power could
not defeat the Talban, then until when these under trained Afghan troops weather
the Taliban storm, and particularly in a situation where one brother is a
Taliban fighter, the other works in Afghan military? Therefore, the way that
Pakistan is behaving, should be pursued as it has, at least created the
condition in which America and its allies cannot manage Afghanistan! The fact
is that America and Afghan government genuinely want Pakistan to conduct
military operation against the safe havens of Taliban in South Waziristan, and
establish its state writ so that extremist forces’ schemes of destroying world
peace are not materialized. But Pakistan cannot do that because of her
compulsions as Pakistani rulers know well better than anyone that the crisis in
those tribal areas are not of Sharia but it want to create a safe haven for
“good Taliban and extremists” so that the drug trade of billions of dollars
flourish for smuggling. But in the event of complete peace there, the
international observers and experts would visit those areas and find out the
reality, this is something that Pakistan never wants to.
America
and its allies wish to see Pakistan do the things with honesty and integrity
that are expected of her, but Pakistan is unable to do that because internally
Pakistan is broken into pieces. All its institutions are confrontational against
each other. All its strategically important institutions, including railway,
PIA and Steal Mill are crawling for artificial breathing under the heavy Borden
of loans. And above all, its all nationalities are frustrated and restive
against federation. Meanwhile Baloch are unreservedly demanding outright
freedom. Because of its internal turmoil, foreign investment is an unrealizable
dream for Pakistan. In international trade market Pakistan has lost its
credibility. The war in Balochistan for freedom has plunged Pakistan into an
energy deficiency crisis. The resultant of that war, the energy crisis forced
the thousands of investors fled to foreign country. Hindered thousands of People
are jobless. As result of that grim economic crisis the parents have started
withdrawing their children from schools and admitting them in Madrassa where
they not only get free admission and free food but also it reliefs the parents
from paying fees. Pakistan’s entire job providing factories are closed or
getting closed. The jobless people from these factories with their children are
consciously or subconsciously falling into pray of extremist Jihadi forces.
Among them the matured ones would be mobilized through Propagandists Parties the
Tabliqi Jumaiet. Or they will be inducted and activated into extremists Parties
like Islamic Defensive Council which are run by Jihadi minded ex- army officers
or mullahs. The children of these destitute people will be turn into permanent
Mujahid in the name of talib.
Despite
of all above mentioned degeneration and deterioration, Pakistani rulers are
still engaged in an unprecedented corruption of PR 28 billion per
day.
In this short debate we cannot reach to a
conclusion by separately debating and analyzing each dimension of this colossal
crisis, however, this can be said that to resolve the crisis of this region,
America, Russia along with their allies must see that Baloch and Pashtun factors
are dealt separately beyond Pakistan’s geographical entity. In comparison
Pakistan is more aware of the importance of this reality than America and
Russia. This was the reason that Pakistan established a network of madrassas in
Balochistan and now the plan is vigorously being pursued to turn Balochistan
terrains into safe havens for Islamic extremists and the sea a hotbed for drug
smugglers and pirates so that Baloch are punished for demanding freedom from
Pakistan and bogged down into an eternal mess for centuries.
On
Afghan front, Pakistan is pursuing a policy of “Exhausting All”, and it
certainly would do its level best to make sure that Afghanistan crisis is never
resolved and all are depleted and resigned to Pakistan’s hegemony over
Afghanistan; thus Afghanistan is Pakistan’s fifth province. Pakistan’s
intellectuals are often seen admitting this reality of Pakistan’s sinister
design about Afghanistan’s future without any hesitation on TV talk shows.
Pakistan’s
policy about this region is obvious and confrontational to all civilized world
aspirations.
Now
the question is that if America and Russia have decided to limit themselves only
to the contemplation of right direction or take further steps to get the job
done? Or continue to repeat their previous mistakes by ignoring the problems of
the nationalities in the region and avoid taking a decisive position about
Pakistan.
Comments
Post a Comment